■ Throughout the year, we favoured asymmetric strategies including options, futures and long-short hedge fund strategies to shield portfolios well from the extremely volatile markets of 2020 while continuing to participate market upside.
■ Entering November, many of the risks that worried us began to dissipate with the earlier than expected vaccine announcements as well as the result of the US election.
■ As a result, we started to exit our long-favoured asymmetry and pivot our portfolios to more directional strategies to accommodate the prospect of a 2021 cyclical rebound.
■ We exited our option and futures holdings as well as some hedge fund strategies.
■ Alongside our long-term transformation thematic such as technology, innovation and healthcare, we made a tactical allocation to European equities which should benefit from the expected cyclical rebound, given their relatively more cyclical nature.
■ Last month, we rotated some of our US equity holdings into Chinese equity. With Chinese economic growth expected at 6.9% in Q4 and 8% for 2021 and a potential earnings upgrade, we believe the risk reward profile is attractive despite somewhat elevated valuations.
■ We are also assessing high quality value stocks. While the catch-up potential is appealing, we suggest a highly selective approach to avoid a potential value trap if only valuation metrics are used.
■ In the fixed income space, we are seeking to reinforce our credit exposure going into year-end. Selective high yield bonds, the European hybrid market as well as an expansion of our existing emerging and Asia credit are attractive looking into 2021.
PIVOTING FROM ASYMMETRY TO DIRECTIONAL STRATEGIES
2021.01.11